NBA Best Bets: Heat vs. Hornets Picks for October 26

Published 6:51 am Saturday, October 26, 2024

The Miami Heat (0-1) hit the road in Southeast Division play against the Charlotte Hornets (1-1) on Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET. The Heat are 4.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.

To find the best bets you can make on Saturday’s game, based on our computer predictions, see below.

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Heat vs. Hornets Game Info

  • When: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
  • TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Heat vs. Hornets Best Bets

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Terry Rozier Over 15.5 PTS

  • Last season the Heat were the league’s 26th-ranked scoring team (110.1 points per game), while the Hornets were the 22nd-ranked team defensively in terms of points conceded per game (116.8).
  • Last season the 110.1 points per game the Heat scored were 6.7 fewer points than the Hornets conceded (116.8).

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LaMelo Ball Over 23.5 PTS

  • Charlotte was the 28th-ranked scoring team (106.6 points per game) in the NBA a season ago, while Miami was ranked third defensively in points per game (108.4).
  • Charlotte went 20-19 when it scored more than 108.4 points.

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Pick ATS: Hornets (+ 4.5)

  • Against the spread, Miami was 41-41-0 last year.
  • Charlotte’s record against the spread last year was 34-48-0.
  • The Heat went 10-13 as 4.5-point favorites or more last season.
  • The Hornets’ ATS record as underdogs of 4.5 points or more was 30-38 last season.

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Pick OU:

Under (223.5)

  • Heat games last season went over this contest’s total of 223.5 points 29 times.
  • The Hornets played 40 games last season that ended with a combined score higher than 223.5 points.
  • The average amount of points in Miami’s matchups last season was 220.7, which is 2.8 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
  • Charlotte had a 223.9 average amount of points in its contests last year, 0.4 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick: Hornets (+165)

  • The Heat won 35 of the 47 games they were the moneyline favorite last season (74.5%).
  • Last season, the Hornets won 18 out of the 76 games, or 23.7%, in which they were the underdog.
  • Miami had a record of 16-4 in games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -200 or shorter last year (80%).
  • Last season, Charlotte won 13 of its 62 games, or 21%, when it was the underdog by at least +165 on the moneyline.
  • The Heat have a 66.7% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

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