North Texas vs. Appalachian State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 20

Published 4:58 pm Thursday, December 19, 2024

Friday’s contest between the North Texas Mean Green (7-3) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-5) at UNT Coliseum should be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 72-56 and heavily favors North Texas to come out on top. Game time is at 8:00 PM ET on December 20.

Based on our computer prediction, North Texas is projected to cover the spread (11.5) versus Appalachian State. The two teams are expected to go over the 123.5 total.

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North Texas vs. Appalachian State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, December 20, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Denton, Texas
  • Venue: UNT Coliseum
  • Line: North Texas -11.5
  • Point total: 123.5
  • Moneyline (to win): North Texas -877, Appalachian State +580

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North Texas vs. Appalachian State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    North Texas 72, Appalachian State 56

Spread & Total Prediction for North Texas vs. Appalachian State

  • Pick ATS: North Texas (-11.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (123.5)

North Texas is 5-3-0 against the spread this season compared to Appalachian State’s 3-6-0 ATS record. The Mean Green have hit the over in four games, while Mountaineers games have gone over four times. The two teams score 139 points per game, 15.5 more points than this matchup’s total.

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North Texas Performance Insights

  • The Mean Green outscore opponents by 11.7 points per game (scoring 68.5 points per game to rank 314th in college basketball while allowing 56.8 per contest to rank fourth in college basketball) and have a +117 scoring differential overall.
  • North Texas is 320th in the nation at 29.2 rebounds per game. That’s 3.0 more than the 26.2 its opponents average.
  • North Texas hits 7.6 three-pointers per game (212th in college basketball) while shooting 36.4% from beyond the arc (88th in college basketball). It is making 1.3 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 6.3 per game while shooting 31.5%.
  • The Mean Green’s 98.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 132nd in college basketball, and the 81.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 26th in college basketball.
  • North Texas wins the turnover battle by 4.7 per game, committing 10.1 (64th in college basketball) while its opponents average 14.8.

Appalachian State Performance Insights

  • The Mountaineers’ +64 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 70.5 points per game (287th in college basketball) while allowing 64.7 per outing (38th in college basketball).
  • The 36.3 rebounds per game Appalachian State accumulates rank 45th in college basketball, 4.7 more than the 31.6 its opponents collect.
  • Appalachian State knocks down 7.8 three-pointers per game (190th in college basketball) at a 34.0% rate (171st in college basketball), compared to the 7.0 its opponents make, shooting 27.6% from deep.
  • Appalachian State has committed 2.5 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 12.3 (244th in college basketball) while forcing 9.8 (329th in college basketball).

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