Thursday’s contest at First National Bank Arena has the Arkansas State Red Wolves (14-5, 5-2 Sun Belt) squaring off against the Appalachian State Mountaineers (11-7, 5-2 Sun Belt) at 9:00 PM (on January 23). Our computer prediction projects a 72-67 victory for Arkansas State, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Appalachian State is projected to cover the spread (6.5) against Arkansas State. The two sides are projected to eclipse the 137.5 over/under.

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Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 23, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Jonesboro, Arkansas
• Venue: First National Bank Arena
• Line: Arkansas State -6.5
• Point total: 137.5
• Moneyline (to win): Arkansas State -260, Appalachian State +210

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Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Arkansas State 72, Appalachian State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State

• Pick ATS: Appalachian State (+6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (137.5)

Arkansas State has compiled a 9-9-0 record against the spread this season, while Appalachian State is 9-7-0. The Red Wolves have hit the over in eight games, while Mountaineers games have gone over six times. The two teams score 148.7 points per game, 11.2 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Arkansas State has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall. Appalachian State has gone 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Arkansas State Performance Insights

• The Red Wolves’ +171 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 79.1 points per game (81st in college basketball) while allowing 70.1 per contest (135th in college basketball).
• Arkansas State wins the rebound battle by an average of 1.6 boards. It is collecting 38.0 rebounds per game (eighth in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 36.4 per contest.
• Arkansas State makes 9.4 three-pointers per game (53rd in college basketball) at a 31.6% rate (295th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 per game its opponents make at a 30.0% rate.
• The Red Wolves’ 95.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 189th in college basketball, and the 84.6 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 31st in college basketball.
• Arkansas State has committed 9.9 turnovers per game (41st in college basketball action), 2.2 fewer than the 12.1 it forces on average (158th in college basketball).

Appalachian State Performance Insights

• The Mountaineers outscore opponents by 7.4 points per game (posting 69.6 points per game, 297th in college basketball, and giving up 62.2 per contest, 11th in college basketball) and have a +133 scoring differential.
• Appalachian State wins the rebound battle by 2.1 boards on average. It collects 33.7 rebounds per game, 114th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 31.6.
• Appalachian State knocks down 8.3 three-pointers per game (121st in college basketball) while shooting 37.1% from deep (44th in college basketball). It is making 1.2 more threes than its opponents, who drain 7.1 per game at 28.2%.
• Appalachian State and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Mountaineers commit 11.1 per game (138th in college basketball) and force 10.2 (315th in college basketball).

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